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| Topic: Who's next to crash? | |
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Is Washington Mutual the Next to Fall?
The Seattle-based S&L, much exposed by the housing bust, has seen its stock plummet. But a new CEO is working to shore up confidence by Christopher Palmeri Washington Mutual (WM), a company that once considered itself the Starbucks (SBUX) of banking, now has a stock price lower than that of a latte. Shares of the Seattle company, the nation's largest savings and loan, fell 27% on Sept. 15, to $2 a share, following news that other struggling financial-services giants Lehman Brothers (LEH) and Merrill Lynch (MER) had succumbed to the mortgage meltdown. WaMu shares rose 16% on Sept. 16 to close at 2.32 as investors responded to rumors that banking giant JPMorgan Chase (JPM) may make an offer for the company. The question on many investors' minds is whether WaMu is more like IndyMac, the big bank taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. in July, or Wachovia (WB), a troubled institution that under new CEO Robert Steel appears to have won back some investor confidence. The man in the spotlight at WaMu is Alan Fishman, a banking industry veteran who took the job as chief executive on Sept. 8. Fishman replaced Kerry Killinger, a 25-year veteran of the bank, who built WaMu from a small thrift to a national player in mortgages, only to see that business collapse with the housing bust. A WaMu failure could cost taxpayers some $24 billion, figures Richard Bove, an analyst with the brokerage firm Ladenburg Thalmann (LTS). Pep Talk In a 12-minute conference call with investors on Sept. 8, Fishman offered little in the way of new strategy, opting instead for just some words of inspiration for the troops. "I know I need to hit the ground running, and I'm prepared to do that," he said. Run he did. In Fishman's first week on the job, WaMu announced it was cooperating with the federal Office of Thrift Supervision to provide more information about its operations and business plans. When credit rating agency Moody's (MCO) downgraded the bank to junk-bond status citing its limited financial flexibility, WaMu pre-announced its earnings for the third quarter in an effort to soothe investors. The bank noted that it had $50 billion in "liquidity" available and capital ratios "significantly above the levels of well-capitalized institutions." Even so, Fishman has a tough road ahead. WaMu has $239 billion in real estate loans, according to analyst Bove. Some $53 billion of those are the dreaded adjustable-rate loans in which the payments are optional and losses are as high as 35%. In July, Bove put WaMu on a list of several dozen shaky institutions. He figured any bank with nonperforming loans greater than 40% of its reserves and equity was in trouble. WaMu's was right at that 40% threshold. Bove's loss estimates are close to that of other analysts. Fred Cannon, a bank analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, put out a research note on Sept. 15 that estimated WaMu losses could hit $28 billion this year and next. If that were the case, the bank would need to raise a further $5 billion in capital, Cannon said. Where that money would come from is uncertain. The bank has already raised some $10 billion in the past year, including $7.2 billion in April from a group of private equity investors led by TPG. White Knight? Many analysts feel Fishman's best bet is to find a merger partner, but there are fewer of those around these days. Bank of America's (BAC) acquisitive Chief Executive Kenneth Lewis said on Sept. 15 that he had no interest in WaMu. The most likely candidate remains JPMorgan Chase, which allegedly made a $8-per-share offer earlier this year. Says Nancy Bush, a banking industry analyst with her own firm, NAB Research: "They better hope somebody buys them fast." Words of support came oddly enough from Moody's analysts after announcing their downgrade last week. David Fanger, a senior vice-president at the firm, said that WaMu, by its nature as a federally insured institution, had some capital-raising advantages over investment banks. Its two main sources of funding are consumer deposits, which are largely stable even in tough times, and loans from the Federal Home Loan Banks system. In the S&L crisis of the late 1980s and early '90s, financial institutions received similarly poor credit ratings and were able to survive. Some were later acquired by WaMu during its aggressive expansion over the past two decades. WaMu has lately been luring retail depositors with interest rates on 13-month certificates of deposits offering 4.5%, at the very high end of the industry. The firm has some strong retail banking positions, including top market-share positions in Southern California, Miami, and Seattle. In his conference call on Sept. 8, Fishman dismissed a question about selling bank branches to raise money as "way early." He also said he didn't immediately foresee a need for the bank to raise additional capital. Said Fishman: "The opportunity to create a great national retail franchise has never been better." Palmeri is a senior correspondent in BusinessWeek's Los Angeles bureau. http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/sep2008/db20080916_498821.htm |
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Is Washington Mutual the Next to Fall? The Seattle-based S&L, much exposed by the housing bust, has seen its stock plummet. But a new CEO is working to shore up confidence by Christopher Palmeri Washington Mutual (WM), a company that once considered itself the Starbucks (SBUX) of banking, now has a stock price lower than that of a latte. Shares of the Seattle company, the nation's largest savings and loan, fell 27% on Sept. 15, to $2 a share, following news that other struggling financial-services giants Lehman Brothers (LEH) and Merrill Lynch (MER) had succumbed to the mortgage meltdown. WaMu shares rose 16% on Sept. 16 to close at 2.32 as investors responded to rumors that banking giant JPMorgan Chase (JPM) may make an offer for the company. The question on many investors' minds is whether WaMu is more like IndyMac, the big bank taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. in July, or Wachovia (WB), a troubled institution that under new CEO Robert Steel appears to have won back some investor confidence. The man in the spotlight at WaMu is Alan Fishman, a banking industry veteran who took the job as chief executive on Sept. 8. Fishman replaced Kerry Killinger, a 25-year veteran of the bank, who built WaMu from a small thrift to a national player in mortgages, only to see that business collapse with the housing bust. A WaMu failure could cost taxpayers some $24 billion, figures Richard Bove, an analyst with the brokerage firm Ladenburg Thalmann (LTS). Pep Talk In a 12-minute conference call with investors on Sept. 8, Fishman offered little in the way of new strategy, opting instead for just some words of inspiration for the troops. "I know I need to hit the ground running, and I'm prepared to do that," he said. Run he did. In Fishman's first week on the job, WaMu announced it was cooperating with the federal Office of Thrift Supervision to provide more information about its operations and business plans. When credit rating agency Moody's (MCO) downgraded the bank to junk-bond status citing its limited financial flexibility, WaMu pre-announced its earnings for the third quarter in an effort to soothe investors. The bank noted that it had $50 billion in "liquidity" available and capital ratios "significantly above the levels of well-capitalized institutions." Even so, Fishman has a tough road ahead. WaMu has $239 billion in real estate loans, according to analyst Bove. Some $53 billion of those are the dreaded adjustable-rate loans in which the payments are optional and losses are as high as 35%. In July, Bove put WaMu on a list of several dozen shaky institutions. He figured any bank with nonperforming loans greater than 40% of its reserves and equity was in trouble. WaMu's was right at that 40% threshold. Bove's loss estimates are close to that of other analysts. Fred Cannon, a bank analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, put out a research note on Sept. 15 that estimated WaMu losses could hit $28 billion this year and next. If that were the case, the bank would need to raise a further $5 billion in capital, Cannon said. Where that money would come from is uncertain. The bank has already raised some $10 billion in the past year, including $7.2 billion in April from a group of private equity investors led by TPG. White Knight? Many analysts feel Fishman's best bet is to find a merger partner, but there are fewer of those around these days. Bank of America's (BAC) acquisitive Chief Executive Kenneth Lewis said on Sept. 15 that he had no interest in WaMu. The most likely candidate remains JPMorgan Chase, which allegedly made a $8-per-share offer earlier this year. Says Nancy Bush, a banking industry analyst with her own firm, NAB Research: "They better hope somebody buys them fast." Words of support came oddly enough from Moody's analysts after announcing their downgrade last week. David Fanger, a senior vice-president at the firm, said that WaMu, by its nature as a federally insured institution, had some capital-raising advantages over investment banks. Its two main sources of funding are consumer deposits, which are largely stable even in tough times, and loans from the Federal Home Loan Banks system. In the S&L crisis of the late 1980s and early '90s, financial institutions received similarly poor credit ratings and were able to survive. Some were later acquired by WaMu during its aggressive expansion over the past two decades. WaMu has lately been luring retail depositors with interest rates on 13-month certificates of deposits offering 4.5%, at the very high end of the industry. The firm has some strong retail banking positions, including top market-share positions in Southern California, Miami, and Seattle. In his conference call on Sept. 8, Fishman dismissed a question about selling bank branches to raise money as "way early." He also said he didn't immediately foresee a need for the bank to raise additional capital. Said Fishman: "The opportunity to create a great national retail franchise has never been better." Palmeri is a senior correspondent in BusinessWeek's Los Angeles bureau. http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/sep2008/db20080916_498821.htm |
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Is Washington Mutual the Next to Fall? The Seattle-based S&L, much exposed by the housing bust, has seen its stock plummet. But a new CEO is working to shore up confidence by Christopher Palmeri Washington Mutual (WM), a company that once considered itself the Starbucks (SBUX) of banking, now has a stock price lower than that of a latte. Shares of the Seattle company, the nation's largest savings and loan, fell 27% on Sept. 15, to $2 a share, following news that other struggling financial-services giants Lehman Brothers (LEH) and Merrill Lynch (MER) had succumbed to the mortgage meltdown. WaMu shares rose 16% on Sept. 16 to close at 2.32 as investors responded to rumors that banking giant JPMorgan Chase (JPM) may make an offer for the company. The question on many investors' minds is whether WaMu is more like IndyMac, the big bank taken over by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. in July, or Wachovia (WB), a troubled institution that under new CEO Robert Steel appears to have won back some investor confidence. The man in the spotlight at WaMu is Alan Fishman, a banking industry veteran who took the job as chief executive on Sept. 8. Fishman replaced Kerry Killinger, a 25-year veteran of the bank, who built WaMu from a small thrift to a national player in mortgages, only to see that business collapse with the housing bust. A WaMu failure could cost taxpayers some $24 billion, figures Richard Bove, an analyst with the brokerage firm Ladenburg Thalmann (LTS). Pep Talk In a 12-minute conference call with investors on Sept. 8, Fishman offered little in the way of new strategy, opting instead for just some words of inspiration for the troops. "I know I need to hit the ground running, and I'm prepared to do that," he said. Run he did. In Fishman's first week on the job, WaMu announced it was cooperating with the federal Office of Thrift Supervision to provide more information about its operations and business plans. When credit rating agency Moody's (MCO) downgraded the bank to junk-bond status citing its limited financial flexibility, WaMu pre-announced its earnings for the third quarter in an effort to soothe investors. The bank noted that it had $50 billion in "liquidity" available and capital ratios "significantly above the levels of well-capitalized institutions." Even so, Fishman has a tough road ahead. WaMu has $239 billion in real estate loans, according to analyst Bove. Some $53 billion of those are the dreaded adjustable-rate loans in which the payments are optional and losses are as high as 35%. In July, Bove put WaMu on a list of several dozen shaky institutions. He figured any bank with nonperforming loans greater than 40% of its reserves and equity was in trouble. WaMu's was right at that 40% threshold. Bove's loss estimates are close to that of other analysts. Fred Cannon, a bank analyst at Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, put out a research note on Sept. 15 that estimated WaMu losses could hit $28 billion this year and next. If that were the case, the bank would need to raise a further $5 billion in capital, Cannon said. Where that money would come from is uncertain. The bank has already raised some $10 billion in the past year, including $7.2 billion in April from a group of private equity investors led by TPG. White Knight? Many analysts feel Fishman's best bet is to find a merger partner, but there are fewer of those around these days. Bank of America's (BAC) acquisitive Chief Executive Kenneth Lewis said on Sept. 15 that he had no interest in WaMu. The most likely candidate remains JPMorgan Chase, which allegedly made a $8-per-share offer earlier this year. Says Nancy Bush, a banking industry analyst with her own firm, NAB Research: "They better hope somebody buys them fast." Words of support came oddly enough from Moody's analysts after announcing their downgrade last week. David Fanger, a senior vice-president at the firm, said that WaMu, by its nature as a federally insured institution, had some capital-raising advantages over investment banks. Its two main sources of funding are consumer deposits, which are largely stable even in tough times, and loans from the Federal Home Loan Banks system. In the S&L crisis of the late 1980s and early '90s, financial institutions received similarly poor credit ratings and were able to survive. Some were later acquired by WaMu during its aggressive expansion over the past two decades. WaMu has lately been luring retail depositors with interest rates on 13-month certificates of deposits offering 4.5%, at the very high end of the industry. The firm has some strong retail banking positions, including top market-share positions in Southern California, Miami, and Seattle. In his conference call on Sept. 8, Fishman dismissed a question about selling bank branches to raise money as "way early." He also said he didn't immediately foresee a need for the bank to raise additional capital. Said Fishman: "The opportunity to create a great national retail franchise has never been better." Palmeri is a senior correspondent in BusinessWeek's Los Angeles bureau. http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/sep2008/db20080916_498821.htm Stiglitz recently did an interview ( I posted the synopsis) that he thinks this trend will continue for at least 18 months. Dang, this is gonna be painful. |
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These are interesting times aren't they?
Buckle your seat belt...it's going to be a bumpy ride! |
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What's Congress' solution? Ask the people who caused it to tell them why or how... yeah, you have a better chance of Barry Bonds admitting to steriod use.
CEOs from Lehman, AIG called to testify before Congress AFP Published: Wednesday September 17, 2008 The chief executive of collapsed investment firm Lehman Brothers and the current and former CEOs of troubled insurance giant AIG have been summoned to testify before Congress, an influential US lawmaker said on Wednesday. The two-day hearing in early October will "examine the regulatory mistakes and financial excesses" that led to the bankruptcy filing by Lehman Brothers and the government bailout of AIG, said Representative Henry Waxman, chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee. "Lax oversight and reckless investments on Wall Street are causing massive disruption throughout our economy," said Waxman. "Our hearings will examine what went wrong and who should be held to account." Waxman sent letters requesting testimony to Lehman Brothers CEO Richard Fuld, to appear before the panel on October 6, and AIG CEO Robert Willumstad to testify on October 7. Letters from Waxman were also sent to former AIG chief executives Martin Sullivan and Maurice Greenberg, to appear on the same day as Willumstad. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi railed against what she called "our nation's largest bailout ever." "An 85-billion-dollar loan is a staggering sum and is just too enormous for the American people to bear the risk," she said in a statement. "Congress will demand answers to prevent this from happening again." |
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