It's easy for some to talk out the side of there neck when they really don't know anything. It all remains to be seen.

Trump’s 2020 Odds Are Better Using Political Science Models Than Polls

"If you follow the polls, you know that President Donald Trump’s numbers are in pretty bad shape. But according to models developed by political scientists, confirmed with numerous prior predictions, the president’s reelection chances aren’t too bad. The question will come down to whether or not we trust voter inclinations today, or how people thought about elections over the past hundred or more years.

Except for Rasmussen Reports, polls show the president with higher disapproval ratings than approval ratings, poor numbers which have plagued Trump throughout his term in office. Moreover, he’s often behind leading Democrats like Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders nationwide, and even in battleground states. Even lower-tiered candidates like Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, and Elizabeth Warren are giving Trump a run for his money in states he easily won in 2016, like North Carolina and Texas".

http://observer.com/2019/06/donald-trump-reelection-allan-lichtman-model/

Hispanic resistance to Trump in Colorado and Nevada complicates 2020 strategy

"Resistance by Hispanic voters to President Trump in Colorado and Nevada, two critical White House battlegrounds, could complicate President Trump’s path to reelection.

Trump won his first campaign narrowly, and on the cusp of Tuesday’s scheduled 2020 kickoff in Orlando is facing considerable headwinds in Midwestern states crucial to that victory. To compensate and improve the president’s odds of a second term, the Trump campaign is preparing to expand the map by pouring resources into Colorado and Nevada".

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/hispanic-resistance-to-trump-in-colorado-and-nevada-complicates-2020-strategy

The Memo: Trump begins uphill slog to 2020

"Trump will launch his reelection bid on Tuesday with a huge rally in Florida — but he faces an arduous climb to a second term.

His approval ratings remain historically mediocre. His standing in key states in the Rust Belt and Midwest is just as bad. And he is the most polarizing president of modern times, with those who loathe him seemingly in the plurality over those who love him.

Early internal polling conducted by the Trump campaign shows the magnitude of the challenge the president faces".

http://thehill.com/homenews/the-memo/448680-the-memo-trump-begins-uphill-slog-to-2020

The 2020 Battle Begins

"he 2020 campaign begins in earnest next week in Florida, when Donald Trump officially launches his reelection bid. On June 26, 20 Democratic candidates and five moderators hold the first of two nights of debates. Where do things stand?

According to the polls, President Trump starts at a disadvantage. He has 44 percent approval in the RealClearPolitics average, with a net disapproval of nine points. The most recent Quinnipiac poll has the major Democrats defeating Trump. The margins range from Joe Biden’s 13-point victory to Pete Buttigieg and Cory Booker’s five points. Another recent Quinnipiac poll has Biden leading Trump by four points in Texas. Private surveys of the Lone Star State also show a tight race. Trump polls very badly among suburban women, and the growth in suburban Texas has been extraordinary. Which spells trouble".

http://www.nationalreview.com/2019/06/2020-presidential-campaign-begins/

What we know about Trump’s reelection odds — no matter which Democrat runs against him.

"For Democrats, there is one big fear heading into the 2020 election: A booming economy could save Donald Trump.

The adage “it’s the economy, stupid” condensed this conventional wisdom to four words: Voters (rightly or wrongly) hold the president accountable America’s financial health and their perceptions of how they and the country are doing economically should be the most important factor when they vote. Politico recently covered how, using economically based predictors, Trump actually seems “on track for a landslide.”

But the link between the economy and presidential approval has become “increasingly untethered,” as several political scientists writing at Political Behavior put it. The break began during the Clinton administration and weakened considerably under George W. Bush. By the time Obama took office, the two became completely severed".


http://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/3/22/18276155/donald-trump-2020-presidential-election-odds

The race to win the US Democratic primary: where does it stand?

"Former vice president Joe Biden has so far dominated, outpolling Trump and topping the Democratic field".

Washington (AFP) - A record 23 Democrats of diverse genders, races, and political backgrounds are lining up to try to stop Republican US President Donald Trump from winning a second term in the 2020 elections.


http://news.yahoo.com/race-win-us-democratic-primary-where-does-stand-011914662.html

Trump interview goes off the rails after his chief of staff coughs

"The 20/20 special “President Trump: 30 Hours,” revealed a pet peeve of President Trump’s, coughing. In fact an errant cough brought his interview with George Stephanopoulos to a standstill.

Since he began his 2016 campaign, Trump has been under fire for not releasing his taxes. And while discussing his administration’s most recent refusal to go public with the records, he said, “At some point I hope they get it 'cause it's a fantastic financial statement".

http://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/trump-interview-goes-off-the-rails-after-his-chief-of-staff-coughs-052356627.html

I wonder how his tantrums affect his wife. It doesn't look good. So, a cough sends him off the rails? What a weirdo. Is it because it is a distraction from attention on him or a distraction to him and he can't focus?

Hey Ms. H. Been wondering where you were. Besides me and maybe one other, We need sane voices here. Especially ones like you that can stay on topic.

EXCLUSIVE: Top 5 takeaways of President Trump's interview with ABC News' George Stephanopoulos

"ABC News Chief Anchor George Stephanopoulos embedded with President Donald Trump for a wide-ranging exclusive interview over the course of two days this week, generating a bevy of news headlines over the course of their unprecedented discussion.

Here are the top five moments from the interview".

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/exclusive-top-takeaways-president-trumps-interview-george-stephanopoulos/story?id=63722484


George is no fool. He's been around a long time. But, I would almost bet that it gave him the creeps knowing he's sitting that close to such a pathological liar.

"I just was given a meeting with my pollster who I frankly don't even believe in pollsters if you want to know the truth, you just run a campaign and whatever it is, it is, but I just had a meeting with somebody that's a pollster and I'm winning everywhere, so I don't know what you're talking about."

Trump doesn't believe any poll that doesn't show him leading. Trump just ordered some members of the internal polling staff fired.

I don't think this is a very wide-ranging interview as Trump is still saying the same insane things he's been saying the past 2 1/2 years.

Sorry, Donald - Lying will not make it so for you anymore...because the people are on to you...and they won't be fooled again by you.
I almost fell out of my chair laughing when the Lying King Trump said "I'm a very honest person" and "I don't lie"

Thousands of lies and false statements.

All False statements involving Donald Trump

http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/statements/byruling/false/

Trump Lies.

"We are not holding our breath that President Trump will start backing up his administration’s environmental agenda with scientific facts. But we are holding him accountable for what he says.

President Trump’s torrent of misleading statements and flat-out lies has an army of journalists working 24/7 to set the record straight. To help those who focus, as we do, on climate, energy, and other environmental issues, NRDC will call out Trump whenever he distorts the facts about such matters. Here, we offer our inaugural edition of Trump Lies. We expect to update it regularly".

http://www.nrdc.org/trump-lies

Iran hints the US could be behind 'suspicious' tanker attacks

"Tehran (AFP) - Iran's parliament speaker hinted Sunday that Washington could be behind the "suspicious" tanker attacks in the Gulf of Oman to pile pressure on Tehran, official news agency IRNA reported.

"The suspicious actions against the tankers... seem to complement the economic sanctions against Iran considering that (the US) has not achieved any results from them," Ali Larijani told MPs.

He backed his claim by saying there had been a precedent "during World War II when Americans targeted their own ships near Japan to create an excuse for hostility".

http://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-hints-that-us-could-be-behind-suspicious-tanker-attacks/


As I said above in another post, this just reeks of something Trump would come up with to try to stay in office. If people have looked at the pictures of this. The holes in the ship are way above the water line. If Iran took a notion to pick a fight with the USA, they would have tried to sink it. They would have shot way below the waterline of the ship. No pun intended. But this whole thing is fishy.

Dems prepare 9-figure ad onslaught to blunt Trump’s head start


"Democrats are preparing to kick off a campaign totaling hundreds of millions of dollars to blunt Donald Trump’s head start in the 2020 campaign as their party's candidates slug it out for the right to take him on".

http://www.politico.com/story/2019/06/16/2020-democrats-trump-ad-attack-1365850

Trump campaign cutting ties with pollsters after internal numbers leaked

"WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign is cutting ties with some of its own pollsters after leaked internal polling showed the president trailing former Vice President Joe Biden in critical 2020 battleground states, according to a person close to the campaign.

The move comes after NBC News obtained new details from a March internal poll that found Trump trailing Biden in 11 key states.

Portions of the campaign’s expansive March polling trickled out in recent days in other news reports".

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/trump-campaign-cutting-ties-pollsters-after-internal-numbers-leaked-n1017991

Just more deflection. He just can't face the fact that he isn't as popular among Americans as he wants to believe.

Trump already trying to lay the groundwork for his dictatorship. At this point, he only has about a 25 to 30% 0f a following. Does he really think his dwindling amount of followers are going to get him to stay in office? NO! About all that will keep him in the office is if he starts a war. This just shows what kind of fantasy world he lives in.

Trump says supporters could 'demand' he not leave office after two terms

"WASHINGTON — In tweets on Sunday morning, President Donald Trump suggested supporters might not want him to leave office after two terms.

"The good news is that at the end of 6 years, after America has been made GREAT again and I leave the beautiful White House (do you think the people would demand that I stay longer? KEEP AMERICA GREAT)," Trump wrote".

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2019/06/16/trump-says-supporters-could-demand-he-not-leave-after-two-terms/1471915001/

Trump campaign fires some of its pollsters after leaks show poor numbers for the president

"WASHINGTON — The Trump campaign has fired some of its pollsters following reports that its internal reelection polls showed President Donald Trump losing to former Vice President Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup in battleground states".

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/06/16/donald-trump-campaign-fires-pollsters-after-leaks-show-poor-numbers/1472542001/

Trump, If someone doesn't tell the orange dictator wannabe what he wants to hear, FIRE THEM. Trump wants azz lickers that will tell him how great and grand and pure he is. He looks for people that are willing to lie for him and suck up to him tighter than a Hoover vacuum cleaner. Now he will go and try to find someone that will tell him what he wants to hear. Even if it's not true.

EXCLUSIVE: Trump cites lessons from Nixon, says he ‘was never going to fire Mueller’

"(WASHINGTON) — President Donald Trump told ABC News Chief Anchor George Stephanopoulos that he did not fire special counsel Robert Mueller because “that didn’t work out too well” for former President Richard Nixon.

“I wasn’t gonna fire [Mueller],” Trump said in an exclusive interview with ABC News. “You know why? Because I watched Richard Nixon go around firing everybody, and that didn’t work out too well".


http://wtop.com/government/2019/06/exclusive-trump-cites-lessons-from-nixon-says-he-was-never-going-to-fire-mueller/


No, Mr. President, Article 2 of the Constitution does not give you the right to do whatever you want to do. If your actions are outright illegal or in the case of your administration and/or campaign being investigated are meant to obstruct that investigation, you cannot do what you want and you are subject to removal from office.

Article II doesn't grant any President the power or authority to do whatever he wants. The powers of the President are balanced with the powers of Congress and the judiciary.


At least Nixon had the sense to resign. Trump will request an uprising from his cult.

AOC on Trump's willingness to accept political 'dirt' on rivals: 'The pressure to impeach grows'

"Days after President Trump asserted he would take damaging information on his political rivals from a foreign power, New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said "the pressure to impeach grows".

http://www.yahoo.com/news/aoc-on-trumps-willingness-to-accept-political-dirt-on-rivals-the-pressure-to-impeach-grows-155828620.html

Times' Russia report is 'virtual treason,' Trump says

"Washington (AFP) - US President Donald Trump on Saturday accused The New York Times of "a virtual act of treason," after it reported the US is stepping up digital incursions into Russia's electric power grid".

http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/jun/16/trump-new-york-times-virtual-treason-report-digital-incursion-into-russia

NEW YORK TiMES: "Two administration officials said they believed Mr. Trump had NOT been briefed in any detail about the steps to place “implants” — software code that can be used for surveillance or attack — inside the Russian grid. Pentagon and intelligence officials described broad HESITATION to go into detail with Mr. Trump about operations against Russia for CONCERN over his reaction — and the possibility that he might COUNTERMAND it or DISCUSS it with foreign officials, as he did in 2017 when he mentioned a sensitive operation in Syria to the Russian foreign minister". In other words, TRUMP CAN'T BE TRUSTED!

This is just further proof that Trump doesn't even know what is going on within his own administration. And I love how he calls them the failing New York Times when they are setting circulation records and making a tidy profit.

New York Times stock price on January 20, 2017, $13.35. Friday $32.62. Since Trump’s inauguration, the New York Times is worth 2 1/2 times more.

The first 20 min is an interesting listen.


Chris Cuomo ENDS Conway's CAREER before She Handcuffed for Violating Federal Law

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xuOb_DPqM74

Trump disregard for rule of law puts officials in awkward spot

"Ali Velshi reviews past instances in which government officials have had to walk back Donald Trump's encouragements of lawbreaking or unethical behavior. Chuck Rosenberg, former senior FBI official, shares his insights".

http://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow/watch/trump-disregard-for-rule-of-law-puts-officials-in-awkward-spot-61977669540

Cupp: Trump says he's doing better than in 2016. The bad news for him? He's not

"CNN's SE Cupp says President Donald Trump is focused on his favorite parts of being President and campaigning for 2020 rather than working to solve major issues facing the United States".

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuO9j8y3Kho

#JohnMcCainDay: How people on Twitter are commemorating Trump's 73rd birthday

"It's President Trump's birthday.

On Friday, June 14, in honor of the Republican President's special day, thousands of people used a hashtag to troll him, and it quickly went viral.

It all started when an executive producer of "The Ellen DeGeneres Show" called on his followers to help Trump celebrate by making the hashtag #JohnMcCainDay a trending topic.

"Let’s celebrate @realDonaldTrump’s birthday today by having #JohnMcCainDay trend," Lassner tweeted. "I’m sure this would mean a lot to patriot like Donald Trump. #JohnMcCainDay"

Early Friday morning, the topic celebrating the late Arizona senator took off in the U.S. with more than 51,000 tweets using the hashtag".

http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2019/06/14/john-mccain-day-goes-viral-on-president-trumps-birthday/1454827001/

More brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump

"The New York Times just dropped a brutal story reporting that President Trump is instructing his aides to lie about his poor standing in internal polls. And a new poll just made their job much more difficult".

"Quinnipiac University has for the first time conducted national head-to-head polls matching up Trump and some of the leading Democratic presidential hopefuls. None of the matchups is good for Trump.

Trump trails all six by between five and 13 points, with Joe Biden holding the biggest advantage and the lesser-known candidates — Sen. Cory Booker (N.J.) and Mayor Pete Buttigieg — holding the smallest leads".

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/06/11/more-brutal-poll-numbers-trump/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.1cd78be5016d

I know, a pole is a pole. And it's too early to lay bets on who will be our next President. I'm reasonably sure Trump will be a one-term president. But who will take his place? Left, Right? I don't know. But, there is one takeaway from this. We know what a good number of people in America are thinking. Not meaning to put Booker or Buttigieg down. But facts are facts. These two are at this point, Nobodies. They really aren't a blip on the election radar. But they are ahead of Trump.

This tells me that the great majority of the country want Trump gone one way or the other. They are tired of the corruption that was wrongly allowed to take office. More and more people are seeing Trump for the corrupt crook he really is. When he starts having his, "MANGA" hate rallies, that is if anyone will let him since he doesn't seem to want to pay his bills from previous hate rallies, it will remind people of all the hate he spreads. Which will also remind people of his corruption.

Trump's MAGA Rallies Cost Big Bucks and Cities Are Stuck Footing the Bills

"President Trump’s campaign rallies are racking up big bills, and he’s reportedly not paying them.

A new investigation from NBC News and the Center for Public Integrity found the Trump campaign owes city governments across the country upwards of $800,000 for police and public safety costs from his events".

http://fortune.com/2019/06/15/trump-maga-rallies-bills/

Are these cities really that dumb? With all the bankruptcies he's had and the contractors that he has stiffed for millions. Did they honestly think he would do them any differently? Were they so naive that they believed he would pay them even though the others before them were not ever paid? Don the con has struck again.

Jeremy Corbyn says he has seen 'no credible evidence' Iran is to blame for oil tanker attack

"Jeremy Hunt condemned Jeremy Corbyn’s response to the Gulf of Oman oil tanker attacks as “pathetic and predictable” after the Labour leader questioned whether there was credible evidence Iran was responsible.

The US accused Iran of carrying out Thursday’s attacks on two oil tankers and the British government announced Friday that it was “almost certain” Iran’s Revolutionary Guard was responsible. Iran has denied responsibility".

http://www.yahoo.com/news/jeremy-corbyn-says-seen-no-073607425.html

Iran denies the responsibility of oil tanker attacks; US releases video, details evidence.

http://www.yahoo.com/news/iran-denies-responsibility-oil-tanker-105122337.html

I'm not really sure about this. Iran, If they did it, I feel like they would own up to it right off. They are just that type of people. If they wanted to pick a fight, they would come right out with it. This smells more of a Trump idea than anything. I wouldn't put it past him to try to start a war with any country just so he can stay in office.

Besides being a crook, he has shown that he has no morals or ethics. I don't put it past him to send our military to war and death just so he can continue his attack on our constitution and our way of government. I mean, a mine damages a ship ABOVE the water line? Doesn't make sense.

The Latest: Iran summons UK diplomat over tanker position

http://news.yahoo.com/latest-tanker-crew-land-dubai-172248859.html

Haven't we been down this road before? Fake reasons to go to war... in Iraq? Let a third party, like the UN, investigate it. It is fact...that the right wing Military Industrial Complex wants a new war...since the others have died down and their war profits need building up. US history reeks of the many times an incident was faked..I.e. 'Remember Maine' sinking fake accusation in order to steal Cuba from Spain...Vietnam...Iraq I, II, and III...

We DO NOT have any established and VERIFIED evidence yet.

TRUMP REVEALED ISRAEL'S SECRET SYRIA RAID TO RUSSIAN DIPLOMATS

"The intelligence that President Donald Trump leaked to top Russian officials in an Oval Office meeting in May concerned a highly sensitive Israeli special forces mission, it has been revealed. The operation, which took place in February 2017, involved commandos infiltrating an area under the control of the Islamic State militant group (ISIS), to place a surveillance device. The intelligence obtained through the device prompted a short-term ban on laptops on flights from several majority-Muslim countries to the US and the UK".

http://www.newsweek.com/trump-revealed-secret-israeli-mission-northern-syria-russian-diplomats-720600

GERMANY JOINS CHORUS CASTING DOUBT ON TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CLAIM THAT IRAN WAS BEHIND ATTACK ON OIL TANKERS


"Germany's Foreign Minister Heiko Maas on Friday cast doubt on evidence that the U.S. government claims are proof that Iran was behind an attack this week on two oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman.

The attack on the two vessels, one Japanese and one Norwegian, took place as Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was visiting Iran to try to calm tensions between Tehran and Washington".

http://www.newsweek.com/iran-gulf-oman-germany-trump-administration-1444112

Well, we all know how big of a liar Trump can be. He could lie us right into a war.

Thank you for pointing out something I already knew. I said at the beginning of these threads that I would post things as I come across it. In no particular order. I came across this and posted it. It's just as relevant to the thread as anything that happened yesterday or five minutes ago.

Besides, you never know how many out there never heard or knew of the story. When a political thread goes almost 30 thousand views, as this one has. That means there are a WHOLE LOT of people that are reading and doing research. Most may already know about this story. But I'm sure there are others out there that didn't. And now they do.

As a matter of fact, I've seen this thread jump 300 to 500 views overnight. From yesterday it jumped almost 500 views into today. For all I know, it was people who didn't know about this story.

Another one from two years ago. It shows his pattern of corruption goes way back.

Revealed: The highly sensitive Israeli intelligence on Isis that Donald Trump gave away to Russia

"Details have emerged of the highly-classified Israeli intelligence revealed by Donald Trump to Russian officials earlier this year".

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-russia-israel-intelligence-share-isis-mossad-spies-sergei-lavrov-kislyak-us-a8071086.html

Why the Steele dossier is a red herring in the response to Trump's 'oppo research' comments

"President Trump's stunning admission that he would accept damaging information about his political rivals from foreign governments without necessarily alerting the FBI left his Republican allies in Congress on Thursday scrambling to come up with a defense. And they quickly pivoted to one: the Steele dossier, the opposition-research document prepared by former British intelligence officer Christopher Steele that, along with other information, was a basis for the FBI’s investigation of the Trump campaign in 2016".

http://news.yahoo.com/what-is-the-steele-dossier-republicans-are-using-to-defend-trumps-opporesearch-comments-191857892.html

Lawmakers slam reports Trump revealed classified intel to Russians

"Responding to reports that President Trump revealed "highly classified information" to the Russian foreign minister and ambassador at the White House last week, lawmakers called the alleged disclosures “inexcusable” and “deeply disturbing.”

The Washington Post, citing current and former U.S. officials, reported that Trump provided Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Ambassador Sergey Kislyak classified intelligence that was so sensitive it had been withheld from allies – and under close hold within the U.S. government as well".

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., said Trump owed the intelligence community, Americans and Congress "a full explanation" of what happened. "If the report is true, it is very disturbing," he said in a statement. "Revealing classified information at this level is extremely dangerous and puts at risk the lives of Americans and those who gather intelligence for our country."

Sen. Mark Warner, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee said that if the news was true, it was "a slap in the face to the intel community."

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/05/15/trump-told-classified-info-to-russian-officials/101726824/

http://thehill.com/policy/national-security/333496-report-trump-revealed-highly-classified-info-to-russians

If this turns out to be true Trump should be immediately removed from office. Not allowed to make any decisions or talk to anyone. AT ALL! If this turns out to be true, Pence needs to step in Trump's place. At this point, even he would be better than Trump. I never believed Trump had good sense. But, If he is really this dumb, he's dangerous to our people and our country. If this turns out to be true, it's absolute treason.

I think I'd take it' is the last straw. Nancy Pelosi, it's time to impeach Trump.

"It’s 1:30 AM, and I can’t sleep. Given Wednesday’s events, I’m guessing you’re having trouble sleeping, too. I’ve just made myself a hot chocolate, and I’ve settled in at the keyboard because there are some things I think we should discuss.

When candidate Donald Trump publicly asked Russia to help him win the 2016 presidential election by backing Hillary Clinton’s personal emails, we were shocked. But the polls said Clinton was set to trounce Trump, so we all just let Donald be Donald and figured the train would make its way back to the track in the end. We all know how that worked out".

http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2019/06/13/impeach-trump-after-foreign-dirt-abc-interview-column/1442767001/

http://news.yahoo.com/apos-think-apos-d-apos-164149815.html?.tsrc=jtc_news_index