Stay or run?

Right now there are two storms heading for the Gulf Coast.
Laura and Marco





Neither are expected to be more than a Category 2.
The significance of these storms is their close proximity to one another and the effects of a one/two punch on a relatively close landfall position.
NOLA is below sea level and such a long duration storm surge could cause serious levee failures.

D: Tropical Depression – wind speed less than 39 MPH
S: Tropical Storm – wind speed between 39 MPH and 73 MPH
H: Hurricane – wind speed between 74 MPH and 110 MPH
M: Major Hurricane – wind speed greater than 110 MPH



If you live in the NOLA region, what are your plans?

This thread can act as a M2 Running Status of hurricane progressions over the 2020 Hurricane Season.
Stay safe but don't panic.

I'm right in the heart of both of them. I'm staying. I have never left.

Yeah, I wasn't here for Katrina but I have been here for a few Cat 1s & 2s.
I live about 1 mile from the beach in Bay St Louis.
My front steps are 22 ft above sea level.
The front of my apt building is orientated to the East.

Marco is down to 50 mph.
Laura could be a problem depending upon the temps. She's at 65 mph right now and she's still over land.
Right now Pennsacola and Mobile are getting slammed.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

Interesting, NOAA storm tracking image updates itself which means it will slowly dissappear as the storms are no longer tracked.
I posted the new images then reviewed the thread and saw they were the same as the first time I posted them.
So I edited out these most recent images.

Great... looks like I'll have to wait till wed. To get any chance of rain out of marco.

Currently I'm seeing puffy clouds and blue skies.
Where's that killer hurricane the media made such a big deal about?
Bet all those people who rant to the store to buy up water, batteries dairy products and fresh produce are kicking themselves right now.

I went to the grocery store yesterday and it was jam packed with people with full karts, worried looks on their faces and plenty of impatience.

HahahaHeadlines:

LIVE: Gulf Coast prepares for back-to-back strikes from Marco, Laura

Marco is already sending wind and rain to parts of the region as it nears landfall, but forecasters say Laura, already a deadly storm, has the chance to bring an even bigger impact.

Central Gulf Coast to feel Marco's impacts first as Laura looms

States of emergency have been declared in Louisiana and Mississippi as the region prepares for strikes from multiple tropical systems.

Laura may undergo 'rapid strengthening' before slamming Gulf Coast

Currently a tropical storm, Laura is forecast to ramp up, potentially reaching major hurricane status, before it eyes Texas and Louisiana -- just over 48 hours after Marco's anticipated landfall.

Laura leaves behind deadly destruction, years of cleanup

Granted Laura has the potential to be a serious storm but its still too far away for me to get excited about it.
If its a high two or a 3 by the time it gets close to the coast, it will get my attention but it will have to be a high 3 or a 4 before I actually pack up my precious and flee.
Even then I'll only go about 50-75 miles out (Wiggins or Hattiesburg).

Just got an email from Mississippi power to register my account for outage alerts.
WTH, if the power is out I assure you I will know it.
The way electricity works, you either have it or you don't.
No use fretting about it?

Great idea to start a hurricane thread Tom
They are predicting heavy storm activity for the next several weeks..... Laura will be the 13th named tropical storm/ hurricane this season and they are forecasting another 12.
I've never left(yet) but anything looking worse than Irma I'm out of here!
Here's hoping everyone stays safe

Lol

Around 3am last night there were tornados in my area (phone alert was active when I woke this morning).
Laura is now forcast to hit Texas/Louisiana line but will strengthen before actually getting to land.
Its grey sky cloudy right now and a few small showers in my area.

Here's a live wind map

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-84.75,19.29,1494/loc=-88.886,29.269

Get ready.... Laura hit hurricane strength and they are saying grade 3 when it hits land

NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge homepage
https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=lix#hti

Looks like they are forecasting
Port Arthur, Beaumont, Lake Charles & up to Jasper
For a potential wind speed of greater than 110 mph (Low Cat 3).

Houston, Lufkin, SW Alexandria, Lafayette the edge of
Potential wind speeds of 74-110 mph (Cat 2).

Morgan City, W Baton Rouge, Ruston, Shreveport, Longview, Huntsville, Rosenberg & E Bay City to have potential wind speeds of 58-73 mph (Cat 1)

Greater than 9 ft storm surge from Sabine Lake to just SW of Morgan City.
Greater than 3 ft storm surge from Lake Jackson to Gulfport.
Greater than 6 ft storm surge at Beaumont, Port Arthur, Lake Charles & Lafayette.

Rain Flooding all the way up to Arkansas.
Tornado threat from the coast to Arkansas just West of Memphis.

seems I heard there has not been two storms to collide like this lest documented... do hope many come through this ... an alive ... besafe...

I'm staying put.
The locals are entertaining AF during any storm,
anywhere.

Hoping everyone in Laura path was able to get out..... she's going to hit Texas/ Louisiana border at a cat 4 maybe a cat 5.... storm surge predicted to set a new record.... over 2 stories high and reaching 40 miles inland
My prayers and thoughts are with everyone in its path.... please be safe

I just read an update that said “unsurvivable storm surge”, I’ve never
heard anything like that. I hope everyone has evacuated, so scary.

Seeing it all on tv.

Luckily, the expected landfall is in a sparsely populated area.
Problem is, the storm surge is predicted over a vast area.

Hopefully we will get feedback from members in the affected areas.
Since the affected area is mostly undeveloped land, that may be unlikely.
For those who may have 'weathered the storm' I wish you the best.

Still, enough major cities have been impacted by Laura we may have some input on how it has affected them.
For a bit of guidance, include how you deal with the power outages and the water supply limitations. What and how did you deal with food, medicine and relief from the heat afterwards.

Hopefully you came thru it all with no life casualties.
Homes and properties can be replaced, life is a one time deal.
Hopefully, that loss is not yours!

Just watch weather channel "Tracking Laura", It's on all night.

My thoughts and prayers go out to everyone in Laura's path. I remember evacuating when Hurricane Irma hit, had I stayed I might not be here now... with the storm surge being much greater than Irma, please get out if your still there and able to. Be safe.

I can't stop watching.
I stayed and rode Irma out
Which was bad(why do they always seem to hit in the wee hours of the morning?) But that aftermath was horrible.... dealing with no power and running water for 8 days in the Florida heat was unimaginable
My thoughts and prayers for all