Topic: Chicago's Murder Rate
no photo
Fri 01/27/17 07:27 PM
I always do :)

God speed to Chicago, President Trump ;)

msharmony's photo
Fri 01/27/17 07:42 PM
nothing like a Good nights sleep

now, maybe others will want to contribute to the topic of CHICAGOS MURDER RATE and the op about bringing the rate down,,,

no photo
Fri 01/27/17 08:08 PM

nothing like a Good nights sleep

now, maybe others will want to contribute to the topic of CHICAGOS MURDER RATE and the op about bringing the rate down,,,


Don't like the true.. heh,, don' recall anyone coming to depute it

But.. I know.. it hurts.. again. Sorry


so be it.

Workin4it's photo
Fri 01/27/17 08:14 PM

from : https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/chicagos-murder-rate-is-rising-but-it-isnt-unprecedented/

Chicago’s murder rate is high, and it has risen significantly in the last two years. But the recent rate of killings is not unprecedented: During the mid-1990s, Chicago experienced a higher toll of murders than it did in 2016.


Nor, despite the attention it often gets from Trump and others, is Chicago uniquely dangerous among U.S. cities.

According to preliminary data compiled by my colleague Jeff Asher, Chicago had the eighth-highest murder rate among big U.S. cities in 2016. Cities including St. Louis, Baltimore and Detroit have much higher rates, as do a host of other towns scattered throughout the United States.

Trump made the murder rate a focus of his attention during the campaign, as well. But both in Chicago and on the national level, the murder rate during the 1990s was significantly worse than it is now. Other kinds of violent crime have persistently fallen since that time as well and, unlike murder, haven’t shown a big increase in recent years.

Trump reported in his tweet that “killings” are up 24 percent from 2016. That’s consistent with Chicago Police Department data cited by the Chicago Tribune,1 but it may not mean much — with less than a month of data in 2017 so far, estimates of the murder rate increase are incredibly volatile. Numerous factors can contribute to short-term spikes (or dips) in the murder rate: This January has been exceptionally warm,2 for example, and we know that warmer weather tends to increase violence.

Furthermore, the rate of shootings has not increased as much as murders in 2017, and shootings are a better barometer of gun violence than murders. There are also signs that Chicago’s police are changing their approach in response to the recent violence; that’s important because there is evidence that the rise in murder was at least partly related to a pullback in proactive policing since 2015.

If new police strategies prove effective, and if trends in the weather and the deadliness of gun violence become more normal, Chicago’s murder rate may drift lower even without Trump’s intervention.



Chicago has some of the strictest gun laws in the country. so we know its not the guns, it the liberal thugs that think they are some kind of bad **s. they are not they are only cowards, but its interesting that the most violent cities are the ones run by democrats with democrats making up the majority of their constituants.fact check that and you will see i am right.Its only a matter of time before republicans turn these troubled cities red.

msharmony's photo
Fri 01/27/17 11:05 PM


nothing like a Good nights sleep

now, maybe others will want to contribute to the topic of CHICAGOS MURDER RATE and the op about bringing the rate down,,,


Don't like the true.. heh,, don' recall anyone coming to depute it

But.. I know.. it hurts.. again. Sorry


so be it.



the truth doesnt hurt

insisting on hijacking a topic for some racist ranting annoys though,,,

msharmony's photo
Fri 01/27/17 11:08 PM
Edited by msharmony on Fri 01/27/17 11:09 PM


from : https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/chicagos-murder-rate-is-rising-but-it-isnt-unprecedented/

Chicago’s murder rate is high, and it has risen significantly in the last two years. But the recent rate of killings is not unprecedented: During the mid-1990s, Chicago experienced a higher toll of murders than it did in 2016.


Nor, despite the attention it often gets from Trump and others, is Chicago uniquely dangerous among U.S. cities.

According to preliminary data compiled by my colleague Jeff Asher, Chicago had the eighth-highest murder rate among big U.S. cities in 2016. Cities including St. Louis, Baltimore and Detroit have much higher rates, as do a host of other towns scattered throughout the United States.

Trump made the murder rate a focus of his attention during the campaign, as well. But both in Chicago and on the national level, the murder rate during the 1990s was significantly worse than it is now. Other kinds of violent crime have persistently fallen since that time as well and, unlike murder, haven’t shown a big increase in recent years.

Trump reported in his tweet that “killings” are up 24 percent from 2016. That’s consistent with Chicago Police Department data cited by the Chicago Tribune,1 but it may not mean much — with less than a month of data in 2017 so far, estimates of the murder rate increase are incredibly volatile. Numerous factors can contribute to short-term spikes (or dips) in the murder rate: This January has been exceptionally warm,2 for example, and we know that warmer weather tends to increase violence.

Furthermore, the rate of shootings has not increased as much as murders in 2017, and shootings are a better barometer of gun violence than murders. There are also signs that Chicago’s police are changing their approach in response to the recent violence; that’s important because there is evidence that the rise in murder was at least partly related to a pullback in proactive policing since 2015.

If new police strategies prove effective, and if trends in the weather and the deadliness of gun violence become more normal, Chicago’s murder rate may drift lower even without Trump’s intervention.



Chicago has some of the strictest gun laws in the country. so we know its not the guns, it the liberal thugs that think they are some kind of bad **s. they are not they are only cowards, but its interesting that the most violent cities are the ones run by democrats with democrats making up the majority of their constituants.fact check that and you will see i am right.Its only a matter of time before republicans turn these troubled cities red.



I would love to factcheck that,, in another thread, as this one isnt about blame, let alone blame of an entire party or race


but more about reasonable SOLUTIONS to the current upward trend


I will look at the 10 most violent cities if you may oblige me with the criteria being used to define 'majority of constituents'? (the voting base or the mayors,, who run the cities?)

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 07:03 AM
Edited by JOHNN111 on Sat 01/28/17 07:04 AM
Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city? Unless they have a deep distrust of their military, I see no reason not to deploy teams and curb the drug dealing gang bangers, the killings, it's all about drug dealing turfs.

I been thinking of MsH theory of murders being cyclical, this is true, murder rates can drop with no intervention, but they could also double from the peaks of 700 to 1400... easily!






no photo
Sat 01/28/17 08:09 AM
If new police...if trends in the weather... may drift lower...

That's a lot of speculation.
Might as well say "if leprechauns prove to be true, and if they migrate to the U.S., then maybe people can wish for peace and fortune."

The problem is guns and violence, and the military isnt needed to address that.

If the military isn't needed to address that, then what use training the police? What kind of training do you think police are receiving to handle guns and violence, if those are the problems?


there is nothing PASSIVE in training police and enforcing gun laws or any of the measures taken in the past that saw crime rates DECREASE

The article is saying the weather is also responsible for crime rates.
There's no guarantee that any of the measures taken in the past had any effect whatsoever on crime rates.
It seems all could have been due to atmospheric fluctuations and temperatures.

let the people in the impacted communities vote if they want military intervention

And if less than half the population votes, and barely more than half of those vote yes?
Chicago is a city of suburbs.
What if the least populous suburbs vote "no" while the single most populous suburb votes "yes" and the military couldn't "invade" without affecting the neighboring suburbs that voted "no?"
And can the military soldiers from Chicago vote?

What if in the middle of military intervention, the city decides to have another vote to get rid of the military?
And then when they're leaving, decide to have another vote to get them to stay and intervene some more?
And then get mad at some collateral damage and have another vote saying "get out!"

what is your solution?

For me to stay out of Chicago.

Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city?

It sets a precedent that can be misused.
How many times have you read about Obama doing something and someone responds with something like "well, republicans did it too! Bush did it too!"

Unless they have a deep distrust of their military,

I have a deep distrust of the people that control the military.
You really want potential (in my nightmare) President Nancy Pelosi in control of a military that can be sent to any city she defines as a "problem?"
Using what Trump does as a precedent to protect herself legally? Justified by "alternative facts" and government double seasonal adjustment u-3 not u-6 let's just change how we measure things and leave out what we feel like then publish corrections later statistics?

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 08:11 AM

Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city? Unless they have a deep distrust of their military, I see no reason not to deploy teams and curb the drug dealing gang bangers, the killings, it's all about drug dealing turfs.

I been thinking of MsH theory of murders being cyclical, this is true, murder rates can drop with no intervention, but they could also double from the peaks of 700 to 1400... easily!








I agree... why would anyone NOT want the Government to step it.. to try to stem the killing of its own people?...why?

People are caught in the cross fire of these thugs.. and their gangs. They have proven over and over that they could care less who you are. Innocent people.. children too.. little kids, who now lay dead.

What do you tell their mothers.. " sorry, your child was caught on a high end of the cycle"?

The last President did nothing about it. So,the thugs think they own the streets.. which in reality, they do. And clearly it is now bigger then the Chicago Police dept. can handle.

And the Government is not supposed to take the streets back?. so good people can not be terrified of walking outside their house?

Its like a horror movie there.. people do not go out when it gets dark, because very bad things happen

Frankly, this should have been done a long time ago.

msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 09:09 AM

Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city? Unless they have a deep distrust of their military, I see no reason not to deploy teams and curb the drug dealing gang bangers, the killings, it's all about drug dealing turfs.

I been thinking of MsH theory of murders being cyclical, this is true, murder rates can drop with no intervention, but they could also double from the peaks of 700 to 1400... easily!









one reason would be that when it comes to US citizens , some dont see armored legal gangs paroling US towns as 'taking charge' but as 'occupying' and changing a town from a place with US citizens to a town with ENEMY COMBATANTS


and it would require them to REMAIN There for it to be a long term solution



another reason would be that it is unprecedented and unnecessary when there are other more logical and long term solutions


msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 09:11 AM

If new police...if trends in the weather... may drift lower...

That's a lot of speculation.
Might as well say "if leprechauns prove to be true, and if they migrate to the U.S., then maybe people can wish for peace and fortune."

The problem is guns and violence, and the military isnt needed to address that.

If the military isn't needed to address that, then what use training the police? What kind of training do you think police are receiving to handle guns and violence, if those are the problems?


there is nothing PASSIVE in training police and enforcing gun laws or any of the measures taken in the past that saw crime rates DECREASE

The article is saying the weather is also responsible for crime rates.
There's no guarantee that any of the measures taken in the past had any effect whatsoever on crime rates.
It seems all could have been due to atmospheric fluctuations and temperatures.

let the people in the impacted communities vote if they want military intervention

And if less than half the population votes, and barely more than half of those vote yes?
Chicago is a city of suburbs.
What if the least populous suburbs vote "no" while the single most populous suburb votes "yes" and the military couldn't "invade" without affecting the neighboring suburbs that voted "no?"
And can the military soldiers from Chicago vote?

What if in the middle of military intervention, the city decides to have another vote to get rid of the military?
And then when they're leaving, decide to have another vote to get them to stay and intervene some more?
And then get mad at some collateral damage and have another vote saying "get out!"

what is your solution?

For me to stay out of Chicago.

Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city?

It sets a precedent that can be misused.
How many times have you read about Obama doing something and someone responds with something like "well, republicans did it too! Bush did it too!"

Unless they have a deep distrust of their military,

I have a deep distrust of the people that control the military.
You really want potential (in my nightmare) President Nancy Pelosi in control of a military that can be sent to any city she defines as a "problem?"
Using what Trump does as a precedent to protect herself legally? Justified by "alternative facts" and government double seasonal adjustment u-3 not u-6 let's just change how we measure things and leave out what we feel like then publish corrections later statistics?



there is no 'guarantee' of anything


if 'guarantee' were the issue, there would be NO solution worth discussing

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 09:18 AM


Why would anyone NOT be in favor of armed forces taking charge and restoring peace in a troubled city? Unless they have a deep distrust of their military, I see no reason not to deploy teams and curb the drug dealing gang bangers, the killings, it's all about drug dealing turfs.

I been thinking of MsH theory of murders being cyclical, this is true, murder rates can drop with no intervention, but they could also double from the peaks of 700 to 1400... easily!






[/quot


one reason would be that when it comes to US citizens , some dont see armored legal gangs paroling US towns as 'taking charge' but as 'occupying' and changing a town from a place with US citizens to a town with ENEMY COMBATANTS


and it would require them to REMAIN There for it to be a long term solution



another reason would be that it is unprecedented and unnecessary when there are other more logical and long term solutions




So you are labeling the National Guard as " armored legal gangs"?

The National Guard is a gang.. really?

Are they a gang when they are there after Hurricanes, floods, natural disasters.

Are the ones patrolling the train stations and airports with assault rifles ready ( to protect us from terrorists.. also a gang?


msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 09:29 AM
where gang is : a group of persons working together

yes, they are

they are also

ARMORED

they are also

LEGAL


any military unit is a gang of legally armored people

..

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 10:40 AM
I'm a little surprised at the let's sit back and see if things change angle.

"Occupied" by armed forces in city streets is exactly what Chicago needs. Better than El Chapo "occupying" them?

Bury every single one of those homegrown thugs!

msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 10:54 AM
Edited by msharmony on Sat 01/28/17 10:55 AM
noone has put forth a 'lets sit back and see' angle

the 'angle' is 'lets not occupy the streets with military when there are other more LONG TERM solutions'

and 'lets not ASSume that things will get worse and worse UNLESS/UNTIL military get invovled'


no photo
Sat 01/28/17 10:57 AM

noone has put forth a 'lets sit back and see' angle

the 'angle' is 'lets not occupy the streets with military when there are other more LONG TERM solutions'

and 'lets not ASSume that things will get worse and worse UNLESS/UNTIL military get invovled'




Why weren't they implemented during Obamas watch? his 8 year watch?

His home freakin town?

msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 11:12 AM
Edited by msharmony on Sat 01/28/17 11:13 AM
I dont know,, maybe because he no longer lived in CHICAGO

but in DC, in the WHITE HOUSE, as POTUS,,,,,


whereas CITIES are run by MAYORS, and for the MAJORITY of his two terms violent crime there was at its lowest in a couple of decades


the thread is not about the POTUS
the thread is about potential ways to address the MURDER RATE in CHICAGO

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 11:26 AM

where gang is : a group of persons working together

yes, they are

they are also

ARMORED

they are also

LEGAL


any military unit is a gang of legally armored people

..


I could care less what your dictionary says, stating the any of our Armed Forces is a " gang" is a slap in the face to anyone who has served.

A gang.. is what is running loose in the streets of Chicago. on a free spirited killing spree.

So call em what you want.. I for one am very happy they are going in.. and cleaning the streets of the garbage that took them over.


msharmony's photo
Sat 01/28/17 11:30 AM
its not MY dictionary,,lol

its A dictionary



and the ENGLISH LANGUAGE


truth hurts?

no photo
Sat 01/28/17 11:34 AM
the thread is not about the POTUS
the thread is about potential ways to address the MURDER RATE in CHICAGO


in 2013. The city was identified as a "key recipient" of the drugs brought in by the Sinaloa cartel and was used as a "shipment hub,

The last Potus failed to even acknowledge there was a problem in Chicago.

"Doing nothing" was his choice, we're saying "doing nothing" is NOT an option.